As my friend Rich Hribar noted on Twitter recently, Goff had his receiver get tackled at the 1-yard line on seven occasions last seasons (most in the NFL) and didn't throw a TD pass after those plays on any of them. But a more likely scenario is he splits time or isn't on the team, the Jags center the offense around Gardner Minshew, pushing the ball down the field, and Fournette doesn't come close to earning his RB17 ADP. A huge thanks, as always, to "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe of the Fantasy Focus 06010 and Damian Dabrowski, "The Stat-a-pillar" from The Fantasy Show on ESPN+, for their help at various points in this column. If we are in on using small samples, why is Austin Ekeler, who was all-world in four games last season in the same situation he will be in for this entire season, going after Sanders? He has to have more luck with touchdowns this season, right? Jack was born with familial dysautonomia, and his parents were told he had a life expectancy of three to five years. Like he did in the first four games last season. Showing his potential in the first four games of last season (before Melvin Gordon showed up), Ekeler was the second-best RB in fantasy, scoring just 4.9 fewer total points than Christian McCaffrey. The talent is undeniable, but I'm actually not sure that matters that much. Thrown into the starting lineup to replace a living legend on a team that was going through lots of organizational issues, Jones looked the part of a franchise QB last season and had flashes where he showed his massive potential. Get exclusive access to over 3,000 premium articles a year from top writers including Matthew Berry, Buster Olney, Jess Passan, Mel Kiper Jr. and more. He's not sexy, but he is very serviceable and has a legit chance at double-digit touchdowns. He was defeated narrowly by Murray in a June 8 primary. Woods is a precise route runner who averaged more than nine targets per game last season and should continue to lead a pass-heavy Rams attack. View Matthew Berry’s profile on LinkedIn, the world’s largest professional community. David Johnson, Texans: I can give you stats that show he was more effective than you think last season (before he was injured, he was RB5 in Weeks 1-6, averaging 20.2 PPG on 17.7 touches per game, including 52.5 receiving yards per game, which was second best among all RBs). Ten kids sitting around a table in August, cheat sheets in front of them, drafting players for a standard ESPN league with PPR scoring. "But he's never had a talent like Sanders!" Earlier this month, ESPN senior fantasy analyst Matthew Berry and college basketball analyst Dan Dakich also announced they tested positive. But my argument is that he will take on both roles, and the usage will be so massive it will mask any inefficiencies in the running game. Andrews led all players in percentage of routes he was targeted on last season and was top three among tight ends in yards per route, receptions per route, slot catches, slot yards, end zone targets, air yards per target, total air yards and TE target share, and he was fourth in fantasy points per catch. Matthew grew up in a respected and wealthy family. With our Money Back Guarantee you have nothing to lose. That's what I was screaming into my phone as I recorded videos for ESPN on draft day. Only nine times in those 64 games has a single running back gotten more than 20 touches in a game. Others receiving votes: Jared Goff may not be great, but he's not QB20 either, which is where he's currently going. There is no known cure, so all Jack's mother, Robin, can do is try to manage his symptoms. Swift is currently going as RB24, ahead of guys such as Kareem Hunt (talked him up above), Mark Ingram II (lead back on the best rushing offense in the NFL) and David Montgomery (has the backfield all to himself). I'm in on Brady as a QB1 this season. Any player can be a "sleeper" or a "bust" -- it all just depends on what it costs to draft said player. And what the hell are we even doing if not aiming for a title? ... Let's shift to deeper leagues briefly, where Ian Thomas has eight career games with five or more targets. He had a bar mitzvah. Jack can be fed only via a tube, through his stomach, every three hours. Last season, when Jordan Howard got hurt, Sanders got six games as the lead RB. 1 guy in fantasy. More articles from Sigmund Bloom See all. Similar to Peyton Manning's first season in Denver, you have a highly skilled and motivated QB in a fantasy-friendly offense. However much you like Justin Jackson or Joshua Kelley (and I actually really like Kelley as a late-round flier), I assure you they ain't as good as Melvin Gordon. First, for the new kids in class, this is not a sleepers and busts column. Unless there's an injury to Ingram, Cohen likely finishes the season with more total fantasy points than Dobbins. As you can imagine for someone with such a compromised immune system, COVID-19 is incredibly dangerous for him. This is a long one, but it’s a good read. These names are based on players you might draft in ESPN 10-team leagues with PPR scoring, starting one quarterback and one flex. In Fortnite, Jack is like every other kid, with a powerful avatar that can run, jump and fight." But that won't help you win a title at all. Melvin is gone and Ekeler is going to get even more touches this season. The three seasons he didn't: 2011 (Andy Dalton's rookie year), 2014 (he had to use three different QBs) and 2018 (he had to use four different QBs, including Mark Sanchez and Josh Johnson). Year. ... My expectation is that Cam Newton will be the starting QB for the Patriots, and he's gonna have to throw to someone. There were seven weeks last season in which Cooper was WR30 or worse. Mar 3, 2020 Matthew Berry ESPN Senior Writer It's Monday night, the very first night of the 2020 NFL combine, and I'm at the hotel bar. So as we embark on another incredible season of fantasy football, I smile knowing we will soon all be sitting in a draft room, nervously hoping someone doesn't swipe our sleeper. The perfect fit for player and offense, CEH was going to be my "fantasy ride-or-die" this year and I talked him up extensively on social and on the post-draft episodes of Fantasy Focus and The Fantasy Show on ESPN+. It can't be competition. I'm not worried about Carlos Hyde, now on his sixth team in four years. So many tight ends I like are going outside the top 10. Yeah, gimme Dak as a top-three QB coming off a season with 11 top-12 weekly finishes at the position (tied for the most with Lamar Jackson), 10 games with 20-plus fantasy points (second most), the second-most passing yards, the fifth-highest YPA (8.22), the second-most deep completions and the fourth-most deep pass attempts. But then again, when we are talking about Tom Brady, conventional wisdom goes out the window. OK, so it's not usage that's the problem. Somehow going as QB6 in ESPN live drafts, last year's second-best QB in total points continues to get no respect on the virtual field. First, of course, is health, as Henry has missed 22 games in his first three seasons and has never played more than 14 games in an NFL season. Marquise Brown, Ravens: He was injured coming into his rookie season and learning a new system with an inexperienced QB, yet Hollywood was still incredibly efficient, catching 66.7% of his targets (top 20 in the NFL). (1:42)Matthew Berry suggests making a low-ball offer for Allen Robinson based on his target share, as well as the Bears' upcoming schedule. Those are the kind of weeks that just crush you, and you can't have that from a guy you have to draft top 10 at the position. Hey, that's where the value is. And that those three to five years were going to be HARD. The disorder disturbs cells in the autonomic nervous system, which controls involuntary actions such as digestion, breathing, production of tears, and the regulation of blood pressure and body temperature.". Matthew Berry transfer, injury, salary, contract. He did get a lot of end zone targets last season, I'll give him that, but overall he averaged just 4.5 targets per game (16th among tight ends) and finished 17th among tight ends in target share. 1 scoring offense in the NFL (33.2 PPG in 2019) with little competition for targets other than tight end Mark Andrews, and he is going in the ninth round as WR32. He can't suck on a straw. Since 2007, he has been with ESPN as their "Senior Fantasy Sports Analyst". — Matthew Berry (@MatthewBerryTMR) December 17, 2020 1) I’ve interviewed Josh multiple times & spent about 90 min with him last year, so yeah I … Jordan took $100 out of his own savings account to put up as prize money, and last August, they gathered for the first draft of the Jack Attack Fantasy Football League. He is being drafted ahead of Josh Jacobs, who also has no competition and has a full-year sample size of being a rock star. Currently going as WR40, Shepard was WR24 on a points-per-game basis and averaged 8.6 targets per game (13th best among WR), and the offense should be better as a whole this season. Swift is another guy who is being drafted at best-possible-outcome ADP. ... One reason I'm a little nervous about the rushing touchdowns for Josh Allen and Devin Singletary this season is the presence of Zack Moss, who is a very tough tackle (he was top 10 in yards per carry after first contact and missed tackles forced per touch last season). Born in … A lot more touches. Jameis Winston was QB5 in this system last season despite 30 interceptions. Rivers averaged 36.9 last season. Tarik Cohen, Bears: He's a nice player, but this is all about draft philosophy. And Jack often talked about playing fantasy football.". The Fantasy Football Marathon begins Monday, and once the season starts, the gang will be back on Sunday mornings starting at 10 a.m. That's the same as Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley, more than Dalvin Cook's 25 and just one fewer than Joe Mixon's 30, just to mention some guys being drafted way ahead of him. I have Miles Sanders listed as a "Hate" and Jordan Howard as a "Love," but that does NOT mean I advocate drafting Howard over Sanders. I say he'll do it again this season and Allen Lazard is the non-Davante guy you want in Green Bay. And because his eyes can't produce tears or any kind of secretion, he needs eye drops every one to two hours, otherwise he risks getting corneal abrasions. Dak gets back all his key pieces from last season, is in the same offensive system and adds star rookie CeeDee Lamb, who averaged 21.4 yards per reception in 2019 at Oklahoma, third most in the FBS. There are lots of other tight ends going much later in drafts, who have as much upside as Henry (if not a lot more), basically the same floor and fewer injury concerns. Are these issues all related? I personally hate those terms. I mean, Andy made guys like Charcandrick West, Correll Buckhalter, Spencer Ware ... the list of, let's call them, inconsistent talents that Reid has turned into fantasy factors is long, not to mention elite players such as LeSean McCoy and Brian Westbrook. The Niners were thisclose to winning a Super Bowl by running the ball, controlling the clock and playing really good defense. Have people just not seen pictures of him without his shirt off? Yes, Tampa will be a more efficient and higher-scoring offense and yes, whoever the RB is for Tampa will see much lighter fronts with a better offensive line than the Jags have, so I can see the argument for him. As long as Deshaun Watson is there, this will be a good offense, and David Johnson is going to be the lead back in a good offense. In fact, on draft day Reid compared Edwards-Helaire to Westbrook. Remember, Gallup got injured early last season and wasn't 100 percent the first few games back. In those games, he averages 11.1 PPG, which last season would have been TE11. I don't actually "hate" Amari Cooper as a player. Let's say the rumors of Philly looking at Devonta Freeman, Carlos Hyde and LeSean McCoy were just smoke screens and the team does, in fact, plan to give Sanders the same workload he got late last season, despite much better health for the rest of the weapons. In a year with COVID-19 and so much unknown, I'm a fan of insuring your main RB or taking a shot at having a backup pop, so I always get at least one, if not two or three, of J.K. Dobbins, Tony Pollard, Alexander Mattison, Latavius Murray, Chase Edmonds, Joshua Kelley and DeAndre Washington in drafts. He's currently being drafted as RB31, ahead of guys with much more upside, like Darrell Henderson Jr. or J.K. Dobbins. They truly had no one else. There is no reason for him to leave New England and do this except one: He wants to prove he can do it without Bill Belichick. In general, I've been trying to stay with players in the same situation as the season before, but although it's a new team for Hurst, the QB, coach and offensive system are the same as the season before, when Atlanta led the NFL in pass attempts. Cooper is just 26 and barring injury will once again be a very good player and fantasy option. Either way, he's very likely to outearn his current ADP and be a high-end flex or low-end RB2, and if anything were to happen to Nick Chubb, Hunt would be a top-five RB. Berry's Love/Hate: How to make a lifetime fan the George Carlin way - Matthew Berry … Unique about it want to go away from that dropped two rounds, inconsistent QB play offense be... 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